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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
31.49% | 25.21% | 43.29% |
Both teams to score 55.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% | 47.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% | 69.93% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.33% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% | 22.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.66% | 55.34% |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 47 |
3 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 47 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 40 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
9 | DC United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 31 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
15 | Toronto | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 47 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 41 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 40 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 34 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 19 |