Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
45.12% | 25.28% | 29.59% |
Both teams to score 54.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% | 48.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.02% | 70.98% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% | 21.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.2% | 54.79% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% | 30.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% | 66.62% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |