Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 56.31%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
56.31% | 21.47% | 22.22% |
Both teams to score 60.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.02% | 37.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.76% | 60.23% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.59% | 13.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.65% | 40.35% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% | 30.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% | 66.57% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.56% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-1 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 40 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Toronto | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 48 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 40 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 33 |
8 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Toronto | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 22 |