Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.