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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
48.95% | 24.54% | 26.51% |
Both teams to score 54.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.38% | 47.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% | 69.82% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% | 19.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% | 51.38% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.93% | 32.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% | 68.55% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |