Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
37.18% | 25.79% | 37.02% |
Both teams to score 54.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% | 49.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% | 71.3% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% | 25.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% | 60.77% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |