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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
60.79% | 21.67% | 17.54% |
Both teams to score 51.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% | 45.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% | 68% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% | 14.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.39% | 42.61% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% | 39.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% | 76.28% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.78% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.67% | 0-1 @ 5.34% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 57 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 47 |
3 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 47 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 40 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
9 | DC United | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 31 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
15 | Toronto | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 47 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 41 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 40 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 36 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Dallas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 34 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 19 |