Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
53.96% | 24.65% | 21.39% |
Both teams to score 48.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% | 52.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% | 74.32% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% | 19.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.68% | 51.32% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.56% | 39.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.86% | 76.14% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |