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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.