Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
