Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 65.34%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.46% and a draw had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.32%) and 2-3 (5.74%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (4.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.