Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
68.24% | 17.35% | 14.4% |
Both teams to score 59.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.4% | 31.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.9% | 53.09% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.53% | 8.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.62% | 29.37% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% | 71.45% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 7.8% 3-0 @ 7.38% 1-0 @ 7.26% 4-1 @ 4.82% 4-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.25% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.53% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.35% | 1-2 @ 4.06% 0-1 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-2 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.38% Total : 14.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |