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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Seattle Sounders
Portland
4 - 1
Seattle
Asprilla (71'), Fogaca (76'), Niezgoda (81'), David Mosquera (89')
Chara (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruidiaz (58')
Paulo (44'), Roldan (53')

MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Portland
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 0-2 Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders have made an excellent start to the season, particularly impressing in the 3-0 victory against St Louis City last time out, and we expect them to put their bad recent record against Portland Timbers behind them this weekend. Jordan Morris has been in fantastic form, with eight MLS goals up to this point, and the striker could be the difference-maker in attack, while the defence has been solid enough to indicate Seattle are likely to get a clean sheet.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
43.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 25.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 30.92% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)51.13% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.98% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)23.57% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.63% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.63% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.11%
    Seattle Sounders 30.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3am
Portland
2-1
Seattle
Asprilla (41' pen.), Blanco (51')
Blanco (11'), Williamson (45+2'), McGraw (78')
Gomez Andrade (8')
Lodeiro (20'), Leyva (23')
Jul 9, 2022 9.30pm
Seattle
0-3
Portland

Ragen (45+2'), Roldan (70'), Tolo (81')
Ragen (46')
Niezgoda (24'), Moreno (82' pen.), Paredes (85')
Williamson (6'), Chara (57'), Asprilla (85'), Chara (87')
Aug 30, 2021 3.30am
Seattle
0-2
Portland
Blanco (58'), Mora (90+5')
van Rankin (44'), Valeri (76')
Aug 16, 2021 3am
Portland
2-6
Seattle
Blanco (32'), Fochive (52')
Mabiala (54'), Zuparic (66'), Paredes (76')
Montero (13', 29'), Ruidiaz (55', 72'), Medranda (77'), Benezet (90+4')
Paulo (69')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Tuiloma (90+4')
Loria (21')
Ruidiaz (63' pen.), Montero (79')
Tolo (17'), Delem (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati139312114730
2Nashville SCNashville147431991025
3New England RevolutionNew England137331914524
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta146442824422
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia136342014621
6DC United145451916319
7Orlando City135441616019
8Columbus Crew135352517818
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC145361925-618
10New York City FCNY City134451516-116
11New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls143741012-216
12Chicago Fire133641821-315
13Inter MiamiInter Miami135081417-315
14CF MontrealMontreal135081222-1015
15Toronto142751318-513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
2St Louis City1372426131323
3Seattle SoundersSeattle147252013723
4Dallas146531613323
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135351718-118
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd135351214-218
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver134541814417
8Portland TimbersPortland144461820-216
9Austin FCAustin134451318-516
10Houston DynamoHouston124351111015
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134361322-915
12Colorado RapidsColorado142661221-912
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas14248921-1210
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy132381023-139

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