Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
22.5% ( -0.02) | 22.85% ( 0.14) | 54.64% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.98% ( -0.66) | 44.02% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% ( -0.64) | 66.4% ( 0.64) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -0.39) | 33.51% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( -0.42) | 70.15% ( 0.42) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.98% ( -0.28) | 16.02% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.65% ( -0.5) | 45.35% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.5% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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