Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match.