Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 80%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.64%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Reading |
80% ( -0.06) | 13.39% ( 0.03) | 6.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
