Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.