Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Everton had a probability of 3.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
88.34% ( 0.43) | 7.99% ( -0.26) | 3.67% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.02% ( 0.48) | 21.98% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.13% ( 0.66) | 40.87% ( -0.66) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.89% ( 0.13) | 3.1% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.12% ( 0.45) | 13.88% ( -0.45) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.14% ( -0.33) | 51.86% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.09% ( -0.22) | 85.91% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Everton |
3-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.99% Total : 88.34% | 1-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.61% Total : 7.99% | 1-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.41% Total : 3.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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