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Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Liverpool logo
Man City
3 - 2
Liverpool
Braut Haaland (10'), Mahrez (47'), Ake (58')
Rodri (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carvalho (20'), Salah (48')
Bajcetic (35'), Fabinho (79'), Keita (83')
The Match
Match Report
Liverpool's EFL Cup defence ends in the fourth round at the hands of Manchester City, who edge a pulsating contest 3-2 at the Etihad to advance to the quarter-finals.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie with Liverpool.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Liverpool.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Girona
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
46.78% (1.751 1.75) 20.95% (0.164 0.16) 32.27% (-1.917 -1.92)
Both teams to score 71.89% (-1.517 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.2% (-1.621 -1.62)26.79% (1.618 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.77% (-2.083 -2.08)47.22% (2.081 2.08)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)12.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)38.28% (0.166 0.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-1.656 -1.66)17.93% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-2.923 -2.92)48.75% (2.921 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 46.78%
    Liverpool 32.27%
    Draw 20.95%
Manchester CityDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.344 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.448 0.45)
1-0 @ 4.64% (0.442 0.44)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.152 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 7.98% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.85% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.82% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 32.27%

How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City
54.1%
Liverpool
45.9%
405
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Jul 30, 2022 5pm
Final
Liverpool
3-1
Man City
Alexander-Arnold (21'), Salah (83' pen.), Nunez (90+4')
Nunez (90+5')
Alvarez (70')
Dias (83')
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
2-3
Liverpool
Grealish (47'), Silva (90+1')
Jesus (27'), Fernandinho (57')
Konate (9'), Mane (17', 45')
Fabinho (37'), Keita (48'), Mane (61')
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Man City
2-2
Liverpool
De Bruyne (5'), Jesus (36')
Silva (40')
Jota (13'), Mane (46')
Robertson (28'), Alcantara (61'), Fabinho (83'), van Dijk (89')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Liverpool
2-2
Man City
Mane (59'), Salah (76')
Milner (42'), Jota (65'), Fabinho (83')
Foden (69'), De Bruyne (81')
Dias (26'), Cancelo (56'), Silva (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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