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EFL Cup
Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Aston Villa logo
Man Utd
4 - 2
Aston Villa
Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
McTominay (40'), Maguire (43'), Fernandes (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Luiz (52'), Young (54'), Bailey (90+3')
The Match
Match Report
Manchester United book their spot in the fourth round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 4-2 win over Aston Villa at Old Trafford.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Aston Villa.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
56.32% (1.133 1.13) 22.55% (0.07 0.07) 21.13% (-1.199 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-1.949 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-1.772 -1.77)44.32% (1.777 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-1.744 -1.74)66.7% (1.746 1.75)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.235 -0.23)15.55% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.441 -0.44)44.49% (0.444 0.44)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-2.119 -2.12)34.96% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-2.293 -2.29)71.71% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 56.31%
    Aston Villa 21.13%
    Draw 22.55%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.673 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.562 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.408 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Aston Villa

Manchester United
77.9%
Aston Villa
22.1%
244
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Shaw (10')
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Man Utd
Ramsey (77'), Coutinho (81')
Digne (27')
Fernandes (6', 67')
Matic (31'), Fernandes (46')
Jan 10, 2022 7.55pm
Man Utd
1-0
Aston Villa
McTominay (8')
Fred (65'), Shaw (68'), Dalot (70')

Ramsey (12')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Man Utd
0-1
Aston Villa

Shaw (29'), Fred (77')
Hause (88')
McGinn (66'), Cash (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224
> Full Version
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