Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford
Reaction
Aston Villa begin life after Steven Gerrard with four-goal win over Brentford
Danny Ings scores twice as Aston Villa begin life after Steven Gerrard with a 4-0 win over Brentford in the Premier League.
Oct 23, 15:58
Ivan Toney: 'Brentford played like a bunch of kids against Aston Villa'
Ivan Toney says that Brentford "played like a bunch of kids" as they lost 4-0 to managerless Aston Villa on Sunday afternoon.
Oct 23, 16:42
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford
Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brentford |
45.15% ( -0.03) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.08) | 53.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( -0.07) | 74.93% ( 0.07) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.05) | 23.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.07) | 57.64% ( 0.07) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -0.03) | 33.51% ( 0.04) |
