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Blackburn logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Nottingham Forest logo
Blackburn
1 - 4
Nott'm Forest
Wharton (44')
Wharton (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Johnson (13' pen., 90+2'), Lingard (53'), Awoniyi (79')
Worrall (55'), Colback (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Nottingham Forest

On the back of their terrific win at the weekend, Blackburn will be confident of securing another Premier League scalp. However, we have to respect Forest's superior quality and form before the break, leading us to predict a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNottingham Forest
41.07% (-0.272 -0.27) 25.97% (0.023 0.02) 32.97% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)50.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)72.45% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)24.32% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.214 -0.21)58.71% (0.215 0.21)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.149 0.15)28.96% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.182 0.18)64.85% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 41.07%
    Nottingham Forest 32.97%
    Draw 25.97%
Blackburn RoversDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Nott'm Forest

Blackburn Rovers
37.0%
Draw
9.2%
Nottingham Forest
53.8%
119
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Buckley (18'), Lenihan (40'), Rothwell (50'), Brereton Diaz (59')
Lenihan (53')
Garner (23'), Johnson (90' pen.)
Colback (31'), Garner (69'), Surridge (87')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Blackburn
Zinckernagel (69')
Colback (54'), Gabriel (85'), Gabriel (90')
Ayala (47'), Lenihan (86')
Gallagher (66'), Carter (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+2')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-2
Blackburn
Lolley (22'), Grabban (25' pen., 55')
Sow (45')
Downing (39'), Worrall (71' og.)
Bell (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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