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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
59.71% ( 2.58) | 20.43% ( -0.94) | 19.86% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 60.3% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.71% ( 2.12) | 36.28% ( -2.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.59% ( 2.29) | 58.41% ( -2.29) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% ( 1.42) | 11.88% ( -1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.8% ( 2.94) | 37.19% ( -2.94) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.43% ( -0.31) | 31.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.03% ( -0.36) | 67.97% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.23) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.21) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.43% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.56% Total : 19.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |