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Vancouver Whitecaps
Oct 2, 2022 at 3am UK at Empire Field
Vancouver
2 - 0
Austin
Gauld (7'), Cavallini (62')
Cavallini (90+1'), Blackmon (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romana (18'), Ring (57'), Felipe (90+1'), Cascante (90+7')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, September 18 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin FC

It appears as though Vancouver have got their act together, and with Cavallini back in the fold, we should see them come out very determined and aggressive this weekend, though it might still be too little too late for their playoff chances. With such a big cushion near the top the table, Austin have looked a little too comfortable and complacent of late, knowing that they are already assured of a home playoff game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
42.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 25.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 31.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)48.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)70.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)22.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (0.125 0.13)56.03% (-0.125 -0.13)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 42.78%
    Austin FC 31.86%
    Draw 25.35%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.86%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
Austin
3-0
Vancouver
Urruti (11', 26'), Driussi (68')
Ring (35'), Gabrielsen (45+1'), Pereira (90')

Blackmon (25'), Cavallini (75'), White (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 12am
Vancouver
2-1
Austin
Godoy (70'), Caicedo (83')
Caicedo (84')
Driussi (45')
Fagundez (7'), Kleemann (79')
Aug 19, 2021 2am
Austin
1-2
Vancouver
Ring (37')
Jimenez (55'), Besler (63')
Nerwinski (52'), White (74')
Dajome (62')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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