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Sep 15, 2022 at 2.15am UK at Austin FC Stadium
Austin
3 - 0
Salt Lake
Djitte (60', 76', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Austin
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake

The Verde and Black are especially deadly on their home field, scoring 18 goals in their last five matches played at Q2 Stadium. Regardless of how healthy Driussi is, we expect their backline will not be too troubled by an RSL attack who are not nearly as potent or dynamic as Austin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
56.36% (-1.175 -1.18) 21.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 22.2% (1.13 1.13)
Both teams to score 60.33% (1.542 1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.1% (1.263 1.26)37.9% (-1.26 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.84% (1.336 1.34)60.16% (-1.332 -1.33)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)13.37% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.12 0.12)40.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (1.732 1.73)30.36% (-1.728 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (2.014 2.01)66.56% (-2.012 -2.01)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 56.36%
    Real Salt Lake 22.2%
    Draw 21.44%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.469 -0.47)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.484 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.228 0.23)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.214 0.21)
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.194 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.188 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Austin vs Salt Lake

Austin FC
70.0%
Draw
26.7%
Real Salt Lake
3.3%
30
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-1
Austin
Chang (55'), Brody (88')
Silva (63'), Caldwell (90+2')
Ring (24')
Driussi (38'), Jimenez (45+2'), Urruti (65'), Valencia (78')
Pereira (47')
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Aug 15, 2021 3am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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