Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.