Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.