Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.