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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
23.23% ( 2.1) | 22.73% ( 1.44) | 54.03% ( -3.54) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.35% ( -4.06) | 42.65% ( 4.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.95% ( -4.17) | 65.05% ( 4.17) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.39) | 32.1% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.45) | 68.58% ( 0.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -2.51) | 15.74% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.16% ( -4.85) | 44.84% ( 4.86) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.92) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.6) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.57) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.34) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.33) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.64% Total : 54.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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