Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.