Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.