Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.