Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.