Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Columbus Crew |
48.3% | 24.95% | 26.76% |
Both teams to score 53.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.84% | 49.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% | 20.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% | 52.81% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% | 32.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 27 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 25 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 23 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Toronto | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
14 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 27 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 25 |
5 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 23 |
6 | New England RevolutionNew England | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Toronto | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
14 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |