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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
54.74% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.05% (0.156 0.16) 21.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.504 -0.5)50.55% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.447 -0.45)72.47% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)18.36% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.497 -0.5)49.47% (0.493 0.49)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.169 -0.17)38.41% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.161 -0.16)75.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.73%
    Rosario Central 21.21%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1River PlateRiver Plate1612132781937
2San Lorenzo169521761132
3TalleresTalleres1693429151430
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa168532191229
5EstudiantesEstudiantes168441914528
6Rosario CentralRosario167632319427
7BelgranoBelgrano168351413127
8LanusLanus157442215725
9Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs166552115623
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz166551818023
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB166551414023
12Sarmiento166461815322
13Boca Juniors166372016421
14TigreTigre165651718-121
15GimnasiaGimnasia166371623-721
16Platense165561821-320
17Instituto165561419-520
18Central CordobaC. Cordoba165471218-619
19Barracas Central164661520-518
20Racing ClubRacing165381926-718
21Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield163851615117
22IndependienteIndependiente163851518-317
23ColonColon163851417-317
24HuracanHuracan164571520-517
25BanfieldBanfield163671019-915
26Atletico TucumanTucuman162861320-714
27Arsenal SarandiArsenal1632111224-1211
28UnionUnion15168822-149

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