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Copa Diego Maradona | Plate Final
Jan 17, 2021 at 1.10am UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Rosario
1 - 3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Plate Final clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
38.31%27.62%34.07%
Both teams to score 48.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08%56.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17%77.83%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2%28.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35%64.65%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19%67.81%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 38.31%
    Velez Sarsfield 34.06%
    Draw 27.62%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.06%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
gameweek 14
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
Content continues below the video

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