Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.