Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.