The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 18 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 19 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
We said: FC Cincinnati 0-1 New York Red Bulls
Only one of the seven MLS encounters between Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls has seen more than two goals scored, so a closely-fought contest could be on the cards in Ohio. Both sides will be confident of claiming maximum points from Sunday's fixture, but we feel that the visitors will do just enough to come away with a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
31.47% ( -0.12) | 26.32% ( 0.66) | 42.2% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
