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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
63% ( 0.78) | 20.74% ( -0) | 16.26% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -1.44) | 43.87% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -1.42) | 66.26% ( 1.42) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% ( -0.22) | 13.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.87% ( -0.44) | 40.13% ( 0.44) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -1.83) | 40.09% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -1.72) | 76.73% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.74% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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