Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
