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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
65.57% | 19.41% | 15.02% |
Both teams to score 53.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.71% | 40.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.34% | 62.66% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% | 11.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% | 36.37% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-1 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 62 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 61 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 56 |
4 | Freiburg | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 56 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 46 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 43 |
10 | FC Koln | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 38 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 36 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 31 |
14 | Schalke 04Schalke | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 30 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
16 | Stuttgart | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 28 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 22 |
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