Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Augsburg in this match.
