Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
