Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
