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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Citypark
Minnesota United
St Louis City
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Stroud (28'), Parker (61'), Hiebert (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amarilla (78' pen.)
Fragapane (19'), Arriaga (83')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Salt Lake 0-4 St Louis City
Sunday, March 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 1-0 Minnesota United

It may have started as just a feel-good, fairy tale story, but at the moment St Louis appear to be a legitimate contender, showing consistency in the attacking third while possessing plenty of solid contributors. Minnesota love to slow the game down to a crawl at times, and although that has kept them unbeaten, we expect the momentum and depth of St Louis will ultimately be too much for the Loons to handle.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawMinnesota United
34.33% (0.061 0.06) 25.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 39.79% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.4% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)71.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.024999999999991 0.02)27.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)63.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)59.21% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 34.33%
    Minnesota United 39.79%
    Draw 25.87%
St Louis CityDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.33%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Minnesota Utd

St Louis City
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Minnesota United
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England127321911824
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville12543157819
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta125342121018
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia115241714317
6Columbus Crew114342114715
7DC United124351616015
8Inter MiamiInter Miami115061212015
9New York City FCNY City124351415-115
10Orlando City114341214-215
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351622-615
12CF MontrealMontreal115061117-615
13Chicago Fire113531416-214
14New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls12264811-312
15Toronto122641317-412

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle127231991023
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles106312081221
3St Louis City126242213920
4Dallas125431311219
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
6Portland TimbersPortland124351819-115
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver113531512314
8Houston DynamoHouston10424109114
9Colorado RapidsColorado122641014-412
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd113351014-412
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake113261020-1011
12Austin FCAustin112451017-710
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas12237816-89
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96

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