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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Minnesota United
Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Farfan (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (48')
Trapp (24'), Tapias (50')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Monday, October 24 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

Dallas come into Sunday's opener as favourites due to their excellent 2022 season and Minnesota's dreadful form at the end of last season. The visitors being without their main attacking threat means that Dallas will be very confident of kicking off their season with three points. Ferreira and Arriola will surely be too much for a Reynoso-less Minnesota to cope with.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
59.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 18.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)47.29% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.073 0.07)69.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02)15.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.58% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (0.089000000000006 0.09)39.56% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.081 0.08)76.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 59.24%
    Minnesota United 18.4%
    Draw 22.36%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Minnesota United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties
Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England10631169721
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati106311311221
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta105321916318
4Nashville SCNashville10433116515
5New York City FCNY City104331211115
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7DC United104241413114
8Orlando City94231010014
9Toronto102621313012
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
11Chicago Fire92521313011
12Inter MiamiInter Miami9306810-29
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10163710-39
14Charlotte FCCharlotte FC102351019-99
15CF MontrealMontreal9306717-109

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle106221771020
2St Louis City1061322121019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas104331211115
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes104331313015
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd933388012
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver9252117411
9Portland TimbersPortland103251316-311
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake93151017-710
11Colorado RapidsColorado10163611-59
12Austin FCAustin9234814-69
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9135714-76
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas10037315-123

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