Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.59%) and 3-1 (6.59%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
