Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
