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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 16, 2022 at 1pm UK
 
Everton Ladies
1 - 3
Chelsea Women
Buchanan (53' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mosegaard-Harder (37', 59' pen.), Charles (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Everton Ladies and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Thursday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 West Ham
Wednesday, September 28 at 7.05pm in Women's Super League

We said: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women

Chelsea have won their last five competitive meetings with Everton, and we think that the Blues will continue that winning record by claiming their first away victory of the season on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.07%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Everton LadiesDrawChelsea Women
5.77% (0.06 0.06) 12.26% (-0.438 -0.44) 81.96% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 42.56% (2.238 2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.08% (2.632 2.63)34.92% (-2.631 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.1% (2.883 2.88)56.9% (-2.882 -2.88)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.48% (2.102 2.1)54.52% (-2.101 -2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.41% (1.236 1.24)87.59% (-1.236 -1.24)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (0.623 0.62)6.43% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.94% (1.679 1.68)24.06% (-1.679 -1.68)
Score Analysis
    Everton Ladies 5.77%
    Chelsea Women 81.95%
    Draw 12.26%
Everton LadiesDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 2.13% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-1 @ 1.77% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 5.77%
1-1 @ 5.83% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-2 @ 2.43% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 12.26%
0-2 @ 13.19% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-3 @ 12.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.965 -0.97)
0-4 @ 8.29% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.33% (0.265 0.27)
1-4 @ 5.03% (0.345 0.35)
0-5 @ 4.55% (0.183 0.18)
1-5 @ 2.76% (0.277 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.214 0.21)
0-6 @ 2.08% (0.151 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.193 0.19)
1-6 @ 1.26% (0.165 0.17)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 81.95%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 7pm
Sep 12, 2021 12.30pm
Mar 17, 2021 7pm
Everton Ladies
0-3
Chelsea Women

Raso (49')
Kirby (14'), Mosegaard-Harder (60'), Leupolz (79')
Leupolz (72')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Chelsea Women
4-0
Everton Ladies
So-yun (16'), England (73', 76'), Mosegaard-Harder (90+7')
Bright (65')

Emslie (64')
rhs 2.0
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